Job prospects Assistant Ethnic Cook  in the Estrie Region

Over the past few years (2021-2023), there was a labour shortage for Cooks in the Estrie Region. There were more job openings than workers available to fill them in this occupation.

Source Labour Market Information | Recent Trends Methodology

The employment outlook will be limited for Cooks (NOC 63200) in the Estrie region for the 2024-2026 period.

The following factors contributed to this outlook:

• Employment growth will lead to a moderate number of new positions.
• Not many positions will become available due to retirements.
• There are a moderate number of unemployed workers with recent experience in this occupation.

The employment dynamics in this occupation depend on trends that affect the food service sector. This industry is characterized by a highly competitive business environment and low profit margins, which lead to significant firm turnover.

Despite the increase in household incomes, the uncertainty surrounding the economy could further affect the restaurant industry given that dining out depends primarily on discretionary spending.

The food service sector is also facing competition from retail businesses that are diversifying their offering with ready-to-cook meals and fast food or ready-to-eat outlets.

However, population aging, the increase in the number of single-person households and better tourism opportunities in Quebec could support this occupation.

The influx of immigrants supported the sector by increasing the number of potential employees, which resulted in more competition for positions. While the situation has improved in large cities, some regions are still having recruitment difficulties.

Nevertheless, turnover may result in additional employment opportunities. People with experience will find work more easily and recruitment difficulties will improve prospects for less experienced job seekers. However, while this supports slight job growth, these factors will be insufficient to offset the effect of other factors influencing the occupation.

Here are some key facts about Cooks in the Estrie region:

• Approximately 1,840 people work in this occupation.
• Cooks mainly work in the following sectors:
  • Accommodation and food services (NAICS 72): 66%
  • Nursing and residential care facilities and social assistance (NAICS 623-624): 13%
  • Retail Trade (NAICS 44-45): 5%

Source Labour Market Information | Prospects Methodology