Job prospects Pastry Maker in Ontario

Explore current and future job prospects for people working as a "pastry maker" in Ontario or across Canada.

Job opportunities in Ontario

The recent trends from the past 3 years were updated on July 25, 2025. The job outlooks over the next 3 years were updated on December 10, 2025.

Prospects over the next 3 years

The employment outlook will be Limited for bakers (NOC 63202) in Ontario for the 2025-2027 period.

The following factors contributed to this outlook:

• Employment decline will lead to the loss of some positions.
• A moderate number of positions will become available due to retirements.
• There are a moderate number of unemployed workers with recent experience in this occupation.
• High employee turnover in this occupation could lead to additional employment opportunities.

What Types of Employers Are Out There? 

• Bakeries and tortilla manufacturing  
• Grocery stores 
• Restaurants and caterers 

 

What are the Main Trends Affecting Employment? 

• Growing activities for manufacturers of baked goods 
• Employee turnover may lead to some job openings in limited-service restaurants where lower entry requirements, and a younger workforce are more common  
• However, consumer spending in restaurants is expected to be constrained due to economic uncertainty 

 

What Skills Do I Need to Succeed? 

• There are two voluntary skilled trades associated with this occupation in Ontario, named, Baker, and Baker-Pâtissier 
• Skill requirements can vary by place of work: 
• Limited-service restaurants do not usually require formal training or experience
• Bakeries, full-service restaurants grocery stores, hotels and other food service providers may require formal training and related experience
• Manufacturers of baked goods may require training and experience in food processing.

Here are some key facts about bakers in Ontario:

• Approximately 11,250 people work in this occupation.
• Bakers mainly work in the following sectors:
  • Food, beverage and tobacco product manufacturing (NAICS 311, 312): 38%
  • Food and beverage stores (NAICS 445): 27%
  • Food services and drinking places (NAICS 722): 26%
  • Other retail stores (NAICS 44-45, except 445): 6%
• The distribution of full-time and part-time workers in this occupation is:
  • Full-time workers: 61% compared to 81% for all occupations
  • Part-time workers: 39% compared to 19% for all occupations
• 52% of bakers work all year, while 48% work only part of the year, compared to 63% and 37% respectively among all occupations. Those who worked only part of the year did so for an average of 39 weeks compared to 43 weeks for all occupations.
• 11% of bakers are self-employed compared to an average of 15% for all occupations.
• The gender distribution of people in this occupation is:
  • Men: 35% compared to 52% for all occupations
  • Women: 65% compared to 48% for all occupations
• The educational attainment of workers in this occupation is:
  • no high school diploma: 20% compared to 9% for all occupations
  • high school diploma or equivalent: 38% compared to 25% for all occupations
  • apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma: 7% compared to 8% for all occupations
  • college certificate or diploma or university certificate below bachelor's: 20% compared to 22% for all occupations
  • bachelor's degree: 11% compared to 24% for all occupations
  • university certificate, degree or diploma above bachelor level: less than 5% compared to 13% for all occupations

Breakdown by region

Explore job prospects in Ontario by economic region.

Source Labour Market Information | Prospects Methodology

Labour market conditions over the next 10 years

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